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Detroit’s Tight End Problem Creates a Low Bar for Tommy Tremble
The Lions have been shredded by tight ends through three weeks, and Tommy Tremble needs only 13 receiving yards to clear his Sunday night number.
MrJul3s
Oct 4, 2026•5 min read
The read in 30 seconds
Tommy Tremble Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (-115) is the Sunday night play for 1u.
This is not a bet that requires Tremble to suddenly become a featured part of Carolina’s offense. The number is low enough that he simply needs a couple of ordinary opportunities against the defense that has struggled more than any other with tight ends through the first three weeks.
Detroit has allowed 29 receptions for 351 yards and six touchdowns to tight ends this season. All three opponents have found meaningful production at the position, and the problem has not been isolated to one elite player or one bad afternoon.
Tremble enters the matchup with seven receptions for 70 yards, averaging 10.0 yards per catch. He has produced 25, 4 and 41 receiving yards through Carolina’s first three games, clearing this 12.5-yard threshold twice.
At 12.5, we are not asking for volume. We are asking a player averaging 23.3 receiving yards per game to find 13 against a defense that has consistently funneled production toward the position.
What the market is pricing
The low number makes sense because Tremble is not Carolina’s primary receiving tight end.
Darren Waller has returned to a significant role in the offense and enters Sunday with 10 receptions and two touchdowns. Through three games, Waller has played 92 offensive snaps while Tremble has played 112, meaning Carolina is using both tight ends rather than simply replacing one with the other.
That distinction is important.
The market appears to be pricing Tremble like a secondary option whose receiving production depends on Waller disappearing from the game plan. Detroit’s defensive results suggest that may be too restrictive.
The Lions have not merely allowed one opposing TE1 to dominate. They have allowed production across entire tight end rooms.
Juwan Johnson caught three passes for 54 yards and a touchdown against Detroit in Week 1. Dalton Kincaid followed with seven catches for 95 yards and a touchdown in Week 2. Then Jets rookie Kenyon Sadiq exploded for seven receptions, 105 yards and a touchdown last week.
The Jets took that vulnerability one step further. Their tight ends combined for 13 receptions against Detroit, showing that multiple players at the position can benefit from the matchup.
